SmartMoneyTrade

📉 S&P 500 Outlook: Specs Press Shorts Into Seasonal Weakness Contract: ESU25 | Week of Sept 1, 2025 🔑 Quick Take Bearish bias into the week. Specs materially increased net shorts while open interest rose—bearish conviction rather than profit-taking. September seasonality is a headwind, and tech leadership faltered. Bulls need a decisive reclaim of last week’s highs to change the tone. 📊 COT & Positioning (as of Aug 26, 2025) Non-Commercials: Net shorts +16,254 contracts — hedge funds pressing...

💵 U.S. Dollar Outlook: Commercials Step In as Seasonals Turn Supportive Contract: DXU25 | Week of Sept 1, 2025 🔑 Quick Take Commercial traders are quietly increasing longs in Dollar Index futures just as seasonal tailwinds kick in for September. While speculative money remains net short, stronger U.S. consumer spending and sticky inflation could lend support. The bias this week tilts slightly bullish, but the Dollar must defend key support near 97.50 to validate a rebound. 📊 COT Breakdown (as...

Futures Market Outlook: COT & Seasonal Analysis 📈 Here is an overall weekly market outlook, highlighting the clearest opportunities across futures markets for the week ahead. By analyzing Commitment of Traders (COT) data, key fundamental news, volume and open interest trends, and seasonality, I've identified markets with the most coherent signals, enabling traders to navigate with informed precision regardless of their directional bias. Ranked Shortlist of Futures Markets for the Week Our...

Natural Gas Futures: Bearish Outlook Amidst Abundant Supply 📈 Natural Gas futures experienced a volatile week, touching new 9-month and 52-week lows before finding some modest recovery towards the end of the trading period. The overall market context remains influenced by strong supply dynamics, which we will analyze through the lens of key data points. Commitment of Traders & Positioning Analysis The latest Commitments of Traders (COT) report, current as of August 12, 2025, provides crucial...

Weekly Copper Futures Outlook: August 18, 2025 📈 Copper futures experienced an interesting week leading up to the August 12 Commitments of Traders (COT) report, with notable shifts in speculative positioning amidst overall declining open interest. This week's outlook synthesizes key fundamental and positioning data to provide a clear market sentiment. Commitment of Traders (COT) & Positioning Analysis The most recent COT report for Copper- #1 (Code-085692) as of August 12, 2025, reveals a...

Weekly Platinum Futures Market Outlook: August 18, 2025 📈 Welcome to your weekly Platinum futures market outlook. As of Friday, August 15, 2025, Platinum Oct '25 (PLV25) futures closed slightly lower at 1,345.2s, marking a modest daily decline of 16.3 points (-1.20%). This minor dip came at the end of a dynamic week, setting the stage for potential movements as we head into next week's trading. Our primary focus, the Commitment of Traders (COT) data as of August 12, 2025, reveals a decidedly...

Weekly Silver Futures Outlook: Decoding Market Signals for the Week Ahead 📈 This week, Silver (SIU25) futures closed Friday slightly lower, settling at 37.975s. The market is navigating a complex landscape marked by shifting trader positions, mixed economic signals, and ongoing geopolitical dynamics following the recent U.S.-Russia summit. Commitment of Traders (COT) & Positioning Analysis As of August 12, 2025, the latest Commitment of Traders report for Silver reveals notable shifts in...

Weekly Gold Futures Market Outlook 📈 As we close out the week of August 15, 2025, the Gold futures market presents a complex picture, influenced by shifts in trader positioning, mixed economic data, and ongoing geopolitical developments. The much-anticipated Anchorage Summit between President Trump and President Putin on August 15, while failing to secure a formal ceasefire in the Russia-Ukraine conflict, did see Russia agree to security guarantees for Ukraine akin to NATO’s Article 5, albeit...

Weekly Euro Futures Market Outlook: Cautiously Bullish Sentiment Prevails 📈 As we look ahead to the trading week, Euro futures closed out last week with positive momentum, largely influenced by significant macroeconomic shifts and ongoing geopolitical discussions. Our analysis for the Euro FX Sep '25 futures, as of August 12, 2025, points towards a cautiously bullish sentiment, primarily driven by external factors and increasing market conviction, despite some nuanced positioning shifts....

Weekly British Pound Futures Outlook: Navigating Geopolitics and Positioning Shifts 📈 The week ending August 15, 2025, saw the British Pound futures (B6U25) experience fluctuations, closing at 1.3559s on Friday. The market's direction was largely influenced by shifting speculative positioning, key U.S. macroeconomic releases, and significant geopolitical developments surrounding the Russia-Ukraine conflict. Commitment of Traders (COT) & Positioning Analysis As of August 12, 2025, the...